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2024-12-13 10:29:47

New york Fed: Michelle Neal, head of the marketing department, resigned from the bank and will leave on March 25th, 2025.Minsheng Securities: The six key signals of the economic work conference. According to the macro team research report of Minsheng Securities, the economic work conference gave "from point to face" answers to the questions raised by the Politburo meeting. Therefore, in order to grasp the main economic line next year, we think the following six signals are very critical: First, face up to external and internal problems and risks more frankly. Second, directly "winning numbers" raised the deficit, which is rarely seen in history. Third, the importance and determination to boost consumption are unprecedented. Fourth, monetary policy focuses on continuity and strength, and completes the cooperation with finance. Fifth, stabilize the property market and the stock market, and make clear that the bottom may be the most important at present. Sixth, the new idea of the supply side-rectifying the "involution".There is still a worry about the imbalance between supply and demand. There is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)


The Dow Jones Industrial Average is now at 43,983.32 points, down 165.24 points.Doing a good job of macro-policy "combination boxing" to promote the sustained economic recovery. After the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee Conference released a strong signal that the policy of steady growth will be significantly increased in 2025, the Central Economic Work Conference held on December 11-12 further refined the "task book" for macro-policy implementation. Experts said that the implementation of fiscal and monetary policies will be significantly enhanced in 2025. For example, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, continue to implement the vigorous RRR cut and interest rate cut, and so on. At the same time, under the requirements of "system integration and coordination", policies and reform and opening-up measures in finance, currency, employment and other aspects will pay more attention to coordination, lay a good "combination boxing", give better play to policy effectiveness, and strive to promote sustained economic recovery. (CSI)The exchange rate of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar fell to the lowest level since April 2020. As the US dollar strengthened for the fifth consecutive day, the Canadian dollar fell below 1.42 Canadian dollars against the US dollar for the first time since April 2020. According to informed officials, Canada is studying that if US President-elect Donald Trump fulfills his threat to impose extensive tariffs, Canada will impose export taxes on its main exports to the United States.


Google CEO is expected to meet with US President-elect Trump on December 13th, local time.Expert comment: Grasp the core essence of "stabilizing the property market" and explain in detail the main starting points of real estate in the new stage. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Yan Yuejin, vice president of Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, believes that "stabilizing the property market" should have a systematic and complete working path, including stabilizing housing consumption, stabilizing enterprise investment, promoting stock digestion, etc., and ultimately creating more power for the release of domestic demand. (Xinhua News Agency)The "2024 Congdu International Forum" was held in Madrid, Spain, and the "2024 Congdu International Forum" co-sponsored by the Chinese People's Association for Friendship with Foreign Countries, the Australian-China Friendship Exchange Association, the Guangdong Provincial People's Government and the World Leaders Alliance was held in Madrid, Spain from 11th to 12th.

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